An Appraisal for Policy-Makers and Planners
Fr. 76.70
ISBN: 978-0-8018-2273-5
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Energy needs...oil supplies...inflation rates...the demand for new homes...in concerns like these, forecasting plays a crucial role. Forecasts not only determine how billions of dollars will be spent by also commit national policies far into the future; yet, no one really knows how to judge the reliability of forecasts. In this innovative study, William Ascher examines the records of expert forecasting of national trends in population, economics, energy, transportation, and technology over a fifty-year period. The results help to identify both the accuracies and hidden biases of forecasting techniques, information that should be of vital interest to all policy-makers and planners.

Energy needs...oil supplies...inflation rates...the demand for new homes...in concerns like these, forecasting plays a crucial role. Forecasts not only determine how billions of dollars will be spent by also commit national policies far into the future; yet, no one really knows how to judge the reliability of forecasts. In this innovative study, William Ascher examines the records of expert forecasting of national trends in population, economics, energy, transportation, and technology over a fifty-year period. The results help to identify both the accuracies and hidden biases of forecasting techniques, information that should be of vital interest to all policy-makers and planners.

Autor Ascher, William
Verlag Johns Hopkins University Press
Einband Kartonierter Einband (Kt)
Erscheinungsjahr 1978
Seitenangabe 256 S.
Lieferstatus Folgt in ca. 5 Arbeitstagen
Ausgabekennzeichen Englisch
Abbildungen Paperback
Masse H22.9 cm x B15.2 cm x D1.5 cm 421 g

Über den Autor Ascher, William

William Ascher is Donald C. McKenna Professor of Government and Economics at Claremont McKenna College.

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